Rodrigo Carril

Publications

The Impact of Preference Programs in Public Procurement: Evidence from Veteran Set-Asides

(with Audrey Guo)

Journal of Public Economics. Accepted, October 2026.

[Manuscript]

Competition under Incomplete Contracts and the Design of Procurement Policies

(with Andres Gonzalez-Lira and Michael S. Walker)

American Economic Review, 116 (2), February 2026, 535–81

[Journal site] [Manuscript] [Citation (.bib)]

Drivers of Public Procurement Prices: Evidence from Pharmaceutical Markets

(with Claudia Allende, José Ignacio Cuesta, Juan Pablo Atal, and Andres Gonzalez-Lira)

International Journal of Industrial Organization, 96, September 2024, 103086

[Journal site] [Manuscript] [Citation (.bib)]

The Impact of Industry Consolidation on Government Procurement: Evidence from Department of Defense Contracting

(with Mark Duggan)

Journal of Public Economics, 184, April 2020, 104141

[Journal site] [Manuscript] [Online Appendix] [Citation (.bib)]

Working Papers

Rules Versus Discretion in Public Procurement

Job Market Paper. Claire and Ralph Landau Prize 2020 (best student-written SIEPR working paper). Young Economists' Essay Award 2022 (EARIE).

Current draft: September 2026
Revised and resubmitted, Journal of the European Economic Association

[BSE Working Paper #1232]

Work in Progress

Centralized Procurement: the Role of Scale, Selection, and Variety

(with Claudia Allende, José Ignacio Cuesta, Juan Pablo Atal, and Andres Gonzalez-Lira)

The Government’s Price Index: Evidence and Implications for Governments’ Productivity

(with Manuel García-Santana and Sampreet Singh Goraya)

Other Writing 

The biggest bang for the buck: Leveraging best practices in defence procurement for Europe’s rearmament

Kiel Report No. 6, ISSN 2944-0785, February 2026. Kiel Institute for the World Economy

[Kiel Website] [Press Release]